BACKGROUND
M3 Strategies surveyed 128 likely voters in Wisconsin’s 86 House district from June 12 – 14th. The survey has a margin of error of 8.66% at 95% confidence. Respondents were randomly selected from a pool of voters likely to participate in the August 2024 Republican Primary based on a combination of (1) primary voting history, (2) modeled party affiliation, and (3) self-identification of voting intentions. We only included the subset of respondents who intend to vote in the August Republican Primary. All responses were generated via SMS to web survey.
KEY FINDINGS
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If the Republican primary for 86th State Assemblyman were held today, Assemblyman John Spiros would win with 64% of the vote.
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Both candidates are well-known, well-liked, and have a base of strong supporters. However, Assemblyman Spiros’ 4:1 favorable ratio puts him in a much stronger position than Assemblywoman Rozar’s 2:1 ratio.
o 63% of voters have a favorable view of Assemblyman Spiros, pointing to the strength of his position less than 60 days before Election Day.
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Republican Primary voters say their State Assemblyman’s top priorities should be immigration control and border security (18%) and cost of living/inflation (18%).